Fred Foldvary on the Crash of 2008


Foldvary's theory of the business cycle, 1991

http://www.foldvary.net/works/rebc.html


I forecast a severe recession for 2008 in this 1997 paper:

"The Business Cycle: A Georgist-Austrian Synthesis." American Journal of Economics and Sociology 56 (4) (October 1997): 521-41.

http://http://www.foldvary.net/works/geoaus.html

http://www.jstor.org/pss/3487330

http://www.highbeam.com/The+American+Journal+of+Economics+and+Sociology/publications.aspx?date=199710


Article published in 2001:

The Economy, Ursa Major, and 2008

http://www.progress.org/archive/fold192.htm


Articles published in 2004:


Economic Forecast, 2004-2010

http://www.progress.org/2004/fold334.htm


The Real Estate Bubble

http://www.progress.org/2004/fold364.htm


August 2005

California’s Real Estate Bubble

http://ca.lp.org/lp20050802.shtml


January 2006

The Real-Estate Deceleration

http://www.progress.org/2006/fold440.htm


I forecast the coming crash and recession at:

Seminar, Dept. of Economics, Santa Clara University. “A Synthesis of the Austrian-school and the Georgist Theories of the Business Cycle, and its Empirical Testing.” Oct. 9, 2006.


Economic Forecast 2008

http://www.progress.org/2008/fold542.htm


May 2007

Lecture to the Real Estate Network, Santa Clara University

The Real Estate Cycle and the Depression of 2008

http://www.foldvary.net/works/recd8.html


Booklet, The Depression of 2008,

published on paper, first ed. June 2007, 2nd ed. Sept. 2007

Published in the Internet in Sept. 2007:

http://www.foldvary.net/works/dep08.pdf


“Why my Georgist Economics Predicts a Depression in 2008.” FreedomFest, Las Vegas, July 7, 2007. Available as a CD.


October 2007

The Recession of 2008

http://ca.lp.org/lp20071016.shtml


During and after the crash:


Spring 2008:

Real Estate and Recession A Peak in Land Values Can Predict the Next Downturn

http://www.scu.edu/business/mindwork/archives/spring08/foldvary.cfm


Economic Forecast 2008

http://www.progress.org/2008/fold542.htm


“The state’s complicity in the real estate crash.” Land and Liberty 114, no. 1220 (Winter 2007-8): 18-20.


December 2008

Why the Crash of 2008 Is Not a Market Failure

http://ca.lp.org/lp20081208.shtml


Video, interviews with Fred Foldvary regarding his prediction of a crash:

http://www.frtv.org/2009/08/freedom-fest-fred-foldvary/

http://www.frtv.org/tag/fred-foldvary/


Feb. 2009

Why the Crash of 2008 was not a Market Failure

Lecture hosted by the Civil Society Institute, Santa Clara University

http://www.foldvary.net/works/whycrash.html